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Reality Check

February 21, 2011

A poster at ESMB, “dianaclass8,” wrote about the latest issue of Flag’s Source Magazine, Issue 213, which she just received in the mail. Interestingly, their completions are listed as follows:

Clears – 5
OT 1s – 1
OT 2s – 2
OT 3s – 1
OT 4s – 5
OT 5s – 7
Class 5 grad auditor course completions – 3
Class 5 grad auditor internship completions – 1
Class 8 auditor course completions – 1

Source Magazine comes out six times a year, so this represents two months stats, eight weeks.  Impressive, eh? Seems like every time someone slips up and gives actual stats, it gives the lie to their “unprecedented expansion” claims.

Here’s my prediction: Look for the Church to stop printing their completion lists in their magazines. There, that handles it.

Just like they stopped printing org and mission address lists in the magazines and books. It used to be you could look on the back page of the Auditor Magazine and see a complete list of orgs. And you used to be able to look in the back of any book and see a complete list of orgs and missions. Well, you can’t do that anymore.  They don’t even list them on their websites. You have to go to their handy-dandy “org locator” to find an address. Why? It’s obvious. They have claimed “over 8000 orgs, missions and groups.”  If they actually published address lists, anyone could see the lie. As it is, you have to laboriously go through their “org locator” to discover that there are fewer orgs today than there were ten years ago.

Same reason they don’t show stats at events any more. Remember, they used to show actual stats? With actual numbers and dates on them?  Not any more. Now they just talk about “unprecedented expansion.” And if they do mention any stats, it’s things like “square feet of renovated space,” or “Ideal Org fundraising,” or “number of books printed,” or “number of trees chopped down to make all of our promotion.”

Why? Well, if they showed the actual stats, things like Clears made, auditors made,  Releases made, they would get ridden out of town on a rail. Because then anyone, even the most self-blinded Scientology true believer, could see that the Church is failing, that all of this “unprecedented expansion” is a lie.

So the Church continues with more and more elaborate events, more and more empty “Ideal Org” shells, more and more claims of huge expansion.

As every magician knows, one key to fooling the audience is misdirection. Put their attention on something else, so they don’t see your deception. “Look over here! Shiny! Shiny!”  Look at this nice event backdrop. The big podium. Miscavige’s $5000.00 Italian suit.  Another posh building façade.  Look! Look! Look!

Everywhere but at the actual statistics.

Five Clears in eight weeks? Great, at that rate, they’ll Clear everyone in Clearwater in the next three thousand years.

Wake up, people. All that “unprecedented expansion” doesn’t exist.  No matter how many shiny distractions they wave in your face.

  1. February 21, 2011 2:17 am

    Corruption and dissembling of so inculturated into the “church” that transparency is likely to never really happen.

    The hope I have is that, someday after Miscavage, there will be a useful reform.

    A guy can dream.

    Dantalion Jones

  2. February 21, 2011 2:50 am

    Jeff, when you put it that way, it makes all the glitter fall off the COS facade.
    The Freezone has better stats than that.

    Flag needs easier targets.

    My local township has 431 inhabitants which would take FLAG 13 years to clear, if it is still open that long.

    • February 21, 2011 8:32 am

      Most of the inhabitants of your township wouldn’t be able to pay for the Flag auditing, I suppose.

  3. February 21, 2011 4:34 am


    A few years back I tried doing a doubt formula so I went to find the Orgs OIC.

    Guess what?

    Its no longer posted in HCO reception but hidden way in the back somewhere behind a locked door so that any straying public or staff can not see the actual Org’s stats like Course Completions, Well Done Auditing Hours, Clears and Releases etc….

    That’s now “Top Secret SCI”.

    No when I wanted to see the stats I was told to watch the most recent event.

    You know one of those with the exploding graphs of meaningless “stats” and claims of more expansion in 5 years than in the previous fifty.


    Anyway I had a collection of Auditor Mags going back to the early 80’s and I found some interesting trends like the fact that ASHO used to make more auditors in a week than they do now in a year.

    In Advance they used to report at least one if not several VIIIs made in each edition of their Major mag.

    Now there is none.

    In fact rumor is they closed the VIII course room there.

    Okay so Flag supposedly the top training org on the Planet.

    You know the so called “Mecca of Technical Perfection” more accurately *Deception* because when I was there in the late ’80’s their tech was worse than AOLA’s where I had audited for several years before going there.

    (I mean they were more concerned that you were “dressed for success” than if you could actually *audit* and obviously the “C/Ses” there never read about a C/S 53 because many if not most of their cases were being audited over a high TA.

    But that’s another story for another time.)

    Anyway here’s an Org that has more people in training or being audited than all other orgs combined.

    Graduating 5 auditors count ’em 5 auditors in what?????

    Two months!!!!!!

    13 OTs!!!!!

    I mean back in our hey day at AOLA we used to make twice that number in a week!

    5 clears made????

    Are they kidding?????

    Here’s the facts about the clear stat.

    It is a cumulative stat a stat which by definition is only supposed to increase like total number of Dianetics books sold.

    Yet if you read the more recent Auditor Mags which is supposed to keep track of Clears made world wide. The stat is actually half what it was in ’79 and less than a quarter what it was in the late 80’s.

    In other words they have managed to achieve the impossible and drive a stat that is only supposed to go up down!

    The Magic of Dave’s Management.

  4. Dean Blair permalink
    February 21, 2011 4:47 am

    Scientology has been producing clears for many years. The very first clear ever produced (John McMasters) has since been declared to be a suppressive person. Hundreds if not thousands of other clears were also declared to be suppressive persons. The stats of the church of Scientology have actually gone backwards since David Miscavige took over and LRH died.

    • Cool Observer permalink
      February 21, 2011 8:40 am

      You should google “Sonya Bianca”.

    • Karen#1 permalink
      February 22, 2011 9:10 am

      In the cognitive dissonance of trying to understand how one be charged thousands and thousands of dollar to get to the the State of CLEAR.

      …and then be DECLARED Then Suppressive Person….

      I have heard the justification

      “A Cleared Cannibal is a Cleared Cannibal.”

      This justifies the rip-off of high 5 to 6 figures $$$$$$$$
      for something all cancelled but the money is never refunded.

      You are declared SP but we keep the dough $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

      All certs, all “STATES achieved” can be revoked in a heart’s beat.

      But THEY KEEP THE MONEY $$$$$$$$$

  5. Snowflake Dragon permalink
    February 21, 2011 5:03 am

    Wonderful Jeff. “Shiny!, shiny!” really made me smile. If somewhat sadly.

  6. Doc "Smith" permalink
    February 21, 2011 5:04 am

    Jeff, you forget, they haven’t posted how many Clear attests were cancelled in those weeks. I’ll bet way more Clears were told they weren’t actually clear than Vise versa. Oh, and by the way I just attested to Clear here in the Pac NW Freezone at Elma.

    • Seppi permalink
      February 21, 2011 8:09 am

      Gratulations! You reached the state of clear – wonderful! I’m also on my way.

      • Doc "Smith" permalink
        February 23, 2011 3:26 am

        Thanks Seppi, Have a fun road.

  7. Moving Forward permalink
    February 21, 2011 8:25 am

    Jeff, I was looking into this a few weeks ago as well. It gets even more fun when you compare these numbers with the ‘statistics’ touted in the latest Int Scn News (and as announced at the New Years event):

    The magazine makes the claim that there is an OT level completion at Flag every 90 minutes. That would be approximately 16 per day.

    I got the latest edition of Source the same day, so checked it out.

    It listed 44 OT I-VII completions. That’s one every day and a half — far short of the touted statistics.

    Another claim is made that there is a lower grade completion every 3.5 hours at Flag. There were 135 Purif to Grade VA completions listed. That’s nearly 2 per day, still rather short of the 6-7 per day that everyone was told were happening (and I’m not even going to get into the outpoint of why Flag is focusing on the lower bridge now).

    Another ‘statistic’ given is that there is a Release, Clear or OT every 8 seconds. If you subtract the claimed figures for Flag, then this would mean that the approximately 140 orgs, AO/SHs, CCI and the Freewinds would be about making a total 32 releases, Clears and OTs per month, or 8 per week. Well, that’s not even very many, but I can bet that most orgs don’t come close to even these figures. San Francisco org, declared ‘Saint Hill Size’ a few years ago, certainly doesn’t and it’s huge in comparison to many orgs.

  8. Moving Forward permalink
    February 21, 2011 8:29 am

    Forgot to mention that I agree that the next step is no longer listing completions. I’m sort of surprised that they still do. I am sure they can come up with some convoluted reason to drop them. I mean, almost everything else LRH says about magazines and marketing is ignored, so why not?

  9. Cool Observer permalink
    February 21, 2011 9:11 am

    Based on L. Ron Hubbard’s definition of “clear” Scientology has not produced a single one in over sixty years. So it’s quite irrelevant how many clears appear in the stats, if anything the numbers cited above are a lot more honest…who would have thought it?

    It rather appears to be a flap, though. If even the propaganda machine is no longer reliable, things look desperate indeed. Or do they assume that those numbers would actually sound impressive to the remaining members?

  10. gOD permalink
    February 21, 2011 4:35 pm

    “number of trees chopped down to make all of our promotion” good point (and I agree all the above).

    Did you know that there is an actual front group like Narconon and CCHR in this field? Called Earth Organization. I think their most succesfull action would be to ask Orgs to use recycled papers and ask Orgs to post publications only living persons, 1 publication per family, not 6 for 2 persons with misspelled names and addresses, not to people who did not responded or went in to services in the last 30 years, etc.
    That alone would probably add much to saving the planet.

  11. February 21, 2011 5:01 pm

    Its even sadder when you know that the 5 Clears were probably “OT 7’s” reattesting to Clear for the 3rd time as part of a $50,000 “Advance Program” that they aren’t supposed to discuss with others.

    Its also interesting to compare the number of “products” (most of these were probably outer org and Flag trainees) with the millions of dollars collected by the FSO over that 2 month period. There isn’t enough money in the world to Clear – Clearwater……

    • Tara permalink
      February 22, 2011 7:19 am


  12. John Doe permalink
    February 21, 2011 5:02 pm

    If a stat was lower than it had ever been in history, couldn’t that be considered a type of unprecedented expansion?

    Staff member Joe: This statistic, International Paid Completions, has never been this low!
    Staff member Bill: I never thought it could go that low, I mean, this has never happened before!
    Staff member Joe: All our efforts to expand scientology resulted in this?
    Danny Sherman: Internationally, our degree of expansion is unprecedented!

  13. Idle Org permalink
    February 21, 2011 5:58 pm

    Now that DM has probably read this article and knows we’re on to him……yep……..all remaining stats will soon dissapear if they haven’t already.

    Asking to see stats will probably get one a Sec Check soon enough.

    • February 22, 2011 3:23 am

      Number of PR Spokesliars Busted Off Post is in Power, however.


  14. February 21, 2011 6:59 pm

    Hi Jeff:

    I am glad you posted my posting on your blog.

    I finished the Class VIII course in ’95, soon after I went to Spain to audit in the field and when I came back to the US I routed onto the Class VIII retread to refresh on the materials.

    One day an SO staff named Katie Sabella walked in the academy and told the course supervisor and the students that we were to return all the confidential materials and get out of the academy right now. I was dumbfounded and I told her that that was an illegal order, she said it came from upper management and that the Class VIII course was being cancelled until further notice.

    Of course I refused to comply and I said: we are all in the middle of a checksheet and we’re completing it. She was extremely rude and beligerent, she then said if you all don’t leave the premises right now I will call the police. Just like that.

    For the next fifteen years until recently, there were no Class VIIIs completions anywhere in the world. I guess they did cancel the course world wide.

    Aida Thomas aka Dianaclass8

    • Quicksilver permalink
      February 21, 2011 10:52 pm

      Great article as usual Jeff!

      Aida … I’m astonished at what happened in the Cl VIII Academy – I’m a Pro Sup and stuff like this just irks me. Boy, the amount of policies that one order violated is huge, aside from it being something that one just cannot think with – totally illogical. And the threat to call the police?? Sheesh!

      Good for you on sticking to your guns!

      As for the article Jeff … simply amazing that they’d have the guts to post those stats. There must be a heckuva lot of new people who haven’t any idea what stats were like years ago and fail to recognize just how bad they are … the numbers they show now are abysmal.

    • Freedom Fighter permalink
      February 22, 2011 11:59 pm

      Aida, my jaw hit the floor as I read this story and I’m still trying to pick it up off the floor.

    • Valkov permalink
      February 24, 2011 7:00 am

      For those who might have missed it the first time around, I think this little video brilliantly sums up the GAT and all the squirreliness Aida talks about in her post. It really is that nuts in the Co$ these days….

    • John Doe permalink
      February 27, 2011 3:16 am

      I spoke with someone recently, who happened to be on the Class 8 course right now at AOLA. I asked her how many students were on the course and she replied there were 13.

      So, this certainly is a change from closing the courseroom by police force, as described by Aida.

  15. February 21, 2011 7:14 pm

    I love it. This is “Make It Go Right” in action. Well, actually, I guess this is “Make It Go Right” violated. Church SOP seems to be that if the real stats don’t show expansion, find stats that do.

    This is why I always say that Scientology orgs are inherently self-limiting. If you take LRH exactly at his word, things will go so far and then stop. Without LRH alive to create new policy as needed, the Co$ is slowly going to come to a halt.


    • Jeff permalink*
      February 21, 2011 7:41 pm

      I think it’s “Make It Go Away.”

  16. DMSTCC permalink
    February 22, 2011 4:56 pm

    I’m surprised they haven’t gone metric. Nanometer stats look more impressive than feet.

  17. February 24, 2011 10:47 pm

    Meeting with my parents, Jenny (DeVocht) Linson, Angie Blankenship & Jenna midnight in a Dennys around March 2008:

    Me: Just curious how many Clears were made last week, is it still around 5, 7?
    Jenny: Yeah something like that. I don’t remember.
    Me: and you don’t see the outpoint that 160 orgs only made 7 Clears and you don’t even know the exact figure?
    Jenny: [quickly changes subject]

    Those 7 Clears are now probably PTS and weaker than us flourishing SPs. 🙂

  18. SirArthurConanDoyle permalink
    February 24, 2011 11:45 pm

    Brilliant!! They’ll clear Clearwater in 3000 years at this rate ha!! So true!


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